Potential for disrupted polar vortex in January

Potential for disrupted polar vortex in January 2024

Current forecasts indicate a strong Stratospheric Warming event in January 2024, potentially leading to a weakened Polar Vortex and a significant weather pattern shift across the United States and Europe.

ncep gfs temperature at 10hPa for 2022-2023 january 21 2023 f

Stratospheric temperature rise signals weakened polar vortex and Arctic air outbreaks in the northern hemisphere

The polar vortex, a large area of low pressure in the upper atmosphere that typically sits over the poles, is set to weaken as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event unfolds in the northern hemisphere. This event has the potential to have a significant impact on winter weather, as it allows cold Arctic air to escape and cause outbreaks in Europe, Asia, Canada, and the United States.

europe-braces-for-significant-continent-wide-cold-outbreak

Europe braces for significant continent-wide cold outbreak

After the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event at the beginning of January 2021 and the Polar Vortex collapse, weather patterns across the northern hemisphere became very dynamic and progressive. This has set the stage for a potentially quite significant cold…

potential-major-stratospheric-warming-event

Potential major stratospheric warming event

Forecast models suggest a major stratospheric warming event might develop in December 2019, possibly initiating a collapse sequence of the polar vortex. Main cooling effects are expected across Eurasia and the United States. "This might have important…